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A couple of notes in the margin as the speed wobbles get more intense and the American Empire careens along the path to the Crash:
The grotesque yet totally predictable spectacle of the Great Post-Election Tantrum has kicked up musings about civil war and secession. Most of this is is hot air from big talkers — but it is symptomatic of a couple of very real phenomena: Substantial portions of our citizenry distrust and even despise the Republic’s institutions and acknowledge and abide by them only when they serve their desires. We saw this in 2016 (“Abolish the Electoral College!”) as well as in 2020 (“Declare ‘limited’ martial law and overturn the election!”).
And our citizenry is deeply and perhaps irrevocably divided in what those desires entail. As Lincoln said, a house divided against itself cannot stand. So… what then?
RIR reader Barry McKnight scouted up this interesting piece from Aeon on The Return of the City State:
This is the crux of the problem: nation-states rely on control. If they can’t control information, crime, businesses, borders or the money supply, then they will cease to deliver what citizens demand of them. In the end, nation-states are nothing but agreed-upon myths: we give up certain freedoms in order to secure others. But if that transaction no longer works, and we stop agreeing on the myth, it ceases to have power over us.
So what might replace it?
Worth the time.
*
This right here seems to me to be a canary in the coal mine.
Wall Street has begun trading water as a commodity, like gold or oil. The country’s first water market launched on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange this week with $1.1 billion in contracts tied to water prices in California, Bloomberg News reported.
The market allows farmers, hedge funds, and municipalities to hedge bets on the future price of water and water availability in the American West. The new trading scheme was announced in September, prompted by the region’s worsening heat, drought, and wildfires fueled by climate change. There were two trades when the market went live Monday.
“Climate change, droughts, population growth, and pollution are likely to make water scarcity issues and pricing a hot topic for years to come,” RBC Capital Markets managing director and analyst Deane Dray told Bloomberg. “We are definitely going to watch how this new water futures contract develops.”
Water as commodity is indeed a frightening thought.
Next up for trade: clean, breathable air.
And you thought you had a right to it.
Bill Valenti says
This is just about guaranteed to lead to an Enron redux: investors/speculators gaining control over a commodity/service and getting users into a bidding war, creating artificial shortages. All the bad stuff that Enron gave us. I’d like to see a 50-state compact that prohibits speculation in water, or acquisition of water rights by organizations that are not actually users of the water.
You mean policy over politics/special interests? Is that possible?
Bill Valenti says
Maybe not in my lifetime (:-)
Quixotic Mainer says
City states, water as bearer bonds, giant wealthy oligarchies splitting things up. I knew I needed to get around to reading Dune…
Hah. That’s on the mark.
John M Roberts says
Some years ago the CIA released a report stating that we are now engaged in the final round of wars over oil. In the future, wars will be over water. This is not the Sierra Club here, it’s not Greenpeace. This is the CIA. The classic work on water policy in the American West is Marc Reisner’s CADILLAC DESERT. He predicted this situation back in the mid-80s. At one point he quotes a Western saying: “In the West, water flows uphill toward money.” Thgat’s what is happening now.
I was just talking with a friend about how much I love Cadillac Desert and how Reisner’s vision is coming to pass.
John M Roberts says
great minds. etc. Think the Owens Valley War writ large. CHINATOWN only more squalid.